Sunday, June 22, 2025

DIA Warns Of Pakistan’s Rising Nuclear Risk To India

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A latest report from america Protection Intelligence Company (DIA) has raised alarm bells about Pakistan’s rising nuclear arsenal and its strategic navy posture towards India. The DIA’s annual risk evaluation emphasizes that Pakistan continues to view India as an existential risk and is actively pursuing nuclear modernization to offset India’s standard navy benefit.

Based on the evaluation, Pakistan is dedicated to increasing its nuclear capabilities, together with the event of battlefield or tactical nuclear weapons. The report highlights that the nation’s weapons of mass destruction (WMD) programme is being supported by international supplies and applied sciences, most of that are believed to come back from China. These supplies are sometimes transshipped via key world hubs like Hong Kong, Singapore, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates.

The intelligence report underscores that Pakistan’s navy priorities over the subsequent yr will embody cross-border tensions, significantly with India, elevated assaults by Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and Baloch nationalist insurgents, counterterrorism operations, and nuclear weapons improvement. The DIA additionally famous the continued strategic navy partnership between Pakistan and China, with each nations conducting joint workout routines, together with a big air drill held in November 2024.

As per a separate evaluation by the Centre for Arms Management and Non-Proliferation, Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal has grown to roughly 170 warheads as of 2024. This far exceeds earlier projections made by the DIA, which estimated that Pakistan would have round 60–80 warheads by 2020. On the present tempo of improvement, Pakistan may possess as many as 200 nuclear warheads by the tip of 2025.

Pakistan has by no means publicly disclosed the precise dimension or composition of its nuclear stockpile, making it more durable for world specialists to estimate its capabilities in comparison with different nuclear-armed nations. In contrast to India, which has adopted a “No First Use” coverage, Pakistan has not made the same declaration. As a substitute, it focuses on deploying smaller tactical nuclear weapons that may very well be used to counterbalance India’s superior standard forces within the occasion of a navy battle.

The report additionally emphasizes the numerous position China performs in Pakistan’s navy and nuclear technique. Pakistan continues to be a serious recipient of China’s navy help and financial investments. The rising cooperation between the 2 nations is seen as a key driver behind Pakistan’s nuclear developments.

The rising dimension of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal and its aggressive posture towards India increase critical considerations concerning the potential for escalation in South Asia. With each nations armed with nuclear weapons and long-standing territorial disputes, the danger of a miscalculation may have catastrophic penalties. The DIA’s findings underscore the pressing want for worldwide diplomacy and regional dialogue to keep up stability within the area.

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